Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, anyhow?) is independent from winning or losing on any scratch ticket, you treat each event as a self-sufficient event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent gatherings. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Several the probability of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets when (if it is exactly what your issue is asking) should be (2/3)^30 = approximately simple.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 via 10 million, which comes down to 1 chance out of 192,307.

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